Interpreting unbiased comparisons
A fair treatment comparison is one that avoids
biased comparisons. This entails taking steps to minimise biases
due to differences between the patients compared, and biases
due to differences in the way treatment outcomes are assessed.
Even if these biases have been avoided, however, interpreting unbiased
comparisons is often not straightforward. For example, have any differences
between treatments intended and treatments received been taken into
account, and has account been taken of the
play of chance?
Sometimes, a new study provides very strong evidence of the effects
of a treatment. For example, tens of thousands of people participated
in a remarkable study that showed that an aspirin tablet could substantially
reduce the risk of death among people who are experiencing heart attacks (ISIS-2 1988). It is only
very rarely, however, that a single study provides such strong evidence,
so it’s important when reading reports of most studies to ask whether
the new evidence has been integrated in systematic
reviews of all other relevant evidence. If so, have steps been taken
during that process of synthesis to minimise the impact of biased
reporting of the available evidence and biased
selection from the available evidence? Has the potential for reducing
the play of chance using meta-analysis been considered?
Reference
ISIS-2 Second International Study of Infarct Survival Collaborative Group (1988). Randomised trial of intravenous streptokinase, oral aspirin, both, or neither among 17187 cases of suspected acute myocardial infarction: ISIS-2. Lancet 2: 349 60.
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